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Red38
763610.8
767316.4
770915.2
Blue56
999010.1
713025.3
763215.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45530204060801003856

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.7
blue by 8.9
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End8.2
Second
7709
#18
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End3.9
blue by 0.1
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Third
7636
#11
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 0.7
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking odds67%HAB Docking odds