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Red54
471710.2
129617.2
473410.7
Blue36
541712.5
753410.9
46945.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3830102050605436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.3
16.416.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
red by 4.7
5417
#16
12.50.2
12.412.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Second
4734
#25
10.70.3
9.910.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End2.9
blue by 0.2
10.90.2
10.710.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
10.20.3
9.49.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
red by 4.3
4694
#26
5.90.2
5.75.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5