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Red65
727114.2
586616.6
331031.7
Blue17
754015.4
541712.5
30373.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46320102040506070806517

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.4
16.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.0
End6.1
red by 16.3
7540
#11
15.40.9
10.39.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.7
Second
16.61.4
13.615.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 4.1
5417
#16
12.51.5
10.99.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
7271
#10
14.21.4
13.414.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.4
End3.4
red by 10.4
3037
#28
3.81.5
9.47.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed