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Red15
541712.5
473410.7
430115.6
Blue21
265711.1
471710.2
46945.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210204050601521

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#14
15.61.2
14.613.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 4.6
2657
#15
11.11.0
14.413.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Second
5417
#16
12.52.1
10.18.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 2.3
10.20.6
7.36.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Third
4734
#25
10.72.1
8.96.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End2.9
red by 4.8
4694
#26
5.91.0
8.87.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed