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Red75
331031.7
430115.6
415319.6
Blue25
46945.9
47999.3
586616.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55332040506070807525

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.5
19.922.4
Auto3.6
Teleop22.0
End6.1
red by 15.1
16.60.4
15.715.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End2.5
Second
19.61.5
19.220.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End5.2
red by 10.3
4799
#22
9.30.4
7.47.0
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Third
4301
#14
15.61.5
13.414.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End2.6
red by 9.7
4694
#26
5.90.6
7.77.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed