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Red39
181716.8
336612.3
129617.2
Blue32
75738.2
46414.9
578312.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260204060803932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.5
16.415.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End4.2
red by 4.9
5783
#18
12.30.3
12.412.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.9
Second
1817
#13
16.80.5
16.916.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 8.6
7573
#20
8.20.4
7.47.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.8
End0.8
Third
3366
#12
12.30.4
11.911.5
Auto1.7
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 7.4
4641
#29
4.90.4
5.05.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed