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Red25
46414.9
586616.6
331031.7
Blue13
473410.7
471710.2
754015.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46301020405060702513

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.72.1
18.316.2
Auto3.6
Teleop22.0
End6.1
red by 16.3
7540
#11
15.41.0
11.410.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End3.7
Second
16.61.3
14.212.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.6
End2.5
red by 5.9
4734
#25
10.71.7
10.58.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End2.9
Third
4641
#29
4.92.1
11.49.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.3
blue by 5.4
10.21.0
6.45.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed