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Red56
415319.6
697418.7
631514.9
Blue40
261315.2
181716.8
753410.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594502040805640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.2
20.620.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End5.2
red by 2.7
1817
#13
16.80.2
16.316.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Second
18.70.2
19.319.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 3.5
2613
#17
15.20.1
14.113.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End5.1
Third
14.90.2
15.515.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End3.4
red by 4.0
10.90.2
11.811.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed