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Red18
50527.4
374310.8
713811.1
Blue70
288116.8
637723.7
38349.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323220405060701870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7138
#24
11.11.4
9.17.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
blue by 12.6
23.72.9
13.316.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End6.5
Second
3743
#18
10.81.4
9.07.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.9
blue by 6.1
16.82.9
9.712.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.4
Third
5052
#15
7.41.4
12.411.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 1.8
3834
#20
9.32.9
7.610.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned