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Red56
356111.8
75119.6
367621.1
Blue35
66644.2
461020.8
72648.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323710204050605635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
15.015.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
red by 0.3
20.80.3
16.115.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Second
3561
#25
11.80.5
9.19.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.8
red by 3.7
7264
#26
8.10.3
13.012.7
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Third
7511
#14
9.60.5
6.46.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End3.3
red by 5.4
6664
#30
4.20.3
5.45.1
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed