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Red36
664615.9
300516.6
618012.2
Blue40
635715.6
374310.8
550312.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38280102050603640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.0
15.815.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 1.0
15.61.5
10.311.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
Second
15.90.0
12.512.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 3.4
5503
#16
12.51.5
8.29.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
Third
6180
#27
12.20.0
7.97.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 1.4
3743
#18
10.81.5
7.69.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed