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Red30
38349.3
6478.3
461020.8
Blue36
27214.1
637723.7
72648.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343601020304050603036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
16.416.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
blue by 2.9
23.70.1
19.619.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End6.5
Second
3834
#20
9.30.2
7.97.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End4.0
red by 1.1
7264
#26
8.10.1
10.510.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Third
647
#21
8.30.2
7.67.4
Auto2.4
Teleop3.3
End2.7
red by 4.2
2721
#33
4.10.1
3.93.8
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned