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Red34
550312.5
664615.9
27214.1
Blue35
356111.8
632113.1
615510.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36361020304050603435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.0
14.514.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 2.9
6321
#13
13.10.1
12.712.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Second
5503
#16
12.50.0
14.114.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.9
red by 0.7
3561
#25
11.80.1
11.711.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
2721
#33
4.10.0
5.95.8
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End2.0
blue by 6.6
6155
#22
10.70.1
9.39.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed