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Red28
28487.5
38349.3
713811.1
Blue40
356111.8
300516.6
461020.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060801002840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7138
#24
11.12.9
13.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End3.2
blue by 9.6
20.80.1
12.712.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
Second
3834
#20
9.32.9
12.19.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.1
End4.0
blue by 7.4
16.60.1
16.917.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
2848
#35
7.52.9
15.913.0
Auto4.2
Teleop0.9
End2.4
blue by 4.3
3561
#25
11.80.1
9.910.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed