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Red45
288116.8
50527.4
618012.2
Blue40
367621.1
615510.7
72648.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353810203050604540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.2
12.212.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.4
blue by 4.3
21.10.4
17.417.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
Second
6180
#27
12.20.2
10.811.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 1.5
6155
#22
10.70.4
9.49.8
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
5052
#15
7.40.2
9.810.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 0.7
7264
#26
8.10.4
8.99.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed