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Red54
367621.1
288116.8
78378.0
Blue41
637723.7
618012.2
258312.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37501020304060705441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.11.7
17.819.5
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End2.9
blue by 2.6
23.70.6
23.823.2
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End6.5
Second
16.81.7
12.414.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.0
End5.4
red by 4.6
2583
#10
12.20.6
12.411.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.4
End3.4
Third
7837
#19
8.01.7
4.66.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End2.1
blue by 4.2
6180
#27
12.20.6
11.010.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed