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Red45
461020.8
637723.7
76217.9
Blue51
271416.4
300516.6
215817.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5652203040607080904551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.2
23.923.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End6.5
red by 6.1
2158
#23
17.60.0
17.117.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Second
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.0
End1.5
red by 4.2
16.60.0
16.116.1
Auto2.9
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
7621
#31
7.90.2
8.17.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.0
End2.7
blue by 8.6
2714
#17
16.40.0
15.915.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.2