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Red58
147717.2
526119.8
749415.1
Blue84
62425.2
589222.7
383411.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55633040507080905884

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End4.6
blue by 5.4
624
#5
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End7.5
Second
1477
#13
17.20.1
17.117.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.6
End6.1
blue by 5.5
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
Third
7494
#18
15.10.1
15.115.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.5
red by 3.5
3834
#16
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.5