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Red63
23124.5
258218.3
310310.8
Blue29
582911.8
258718.7
741811.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584630405070806329

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#8
24.50.2
24.825.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 5.8
2587
#11
18.70.4
19.118.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Second
18.30.2
18.618.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End8.3
red by 6.5
5829
#26
11.80.4
12.211.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
3103
#30
10.80.2
11.111.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
blue by 0.9
7418
#29
11.70.4
12.211.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End2.0