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Red45
258218.3
582911.8
741013.9
Blue47
310310.8
458721.4
383411.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383401020305060704547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.4
15.115.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End8.3
blue by 3.1
21.41.7
15.617.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
Second
7410
#27
13.90.4
10.711.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 2.3
3834
#16
11.61.0
7.88.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.5
Third
5829
#26
11.80.4
9.810.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 0.9
3103
#30
10.81.7
8.610.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed