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Red61
589222.7
75186.8
71157.7
Blue40
432816.1
76169.3
373514.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283110204050606140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.4
12.213.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
red by 6.6
4328
#12
16.10.7
10.811.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Second
7115
#28
7.71.4
5.26.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 6.8
3735
#14
14.41.1
11.012.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Third
7518
#31
6.81.4
8.910.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End2.9
blue by 2.4
7616
#20
9.31.1
8.09.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed