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Red43
74409.5
258718.7
125516.6
Blue56
526119.8
75109.2
589222.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333510204050604356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#11
18.71.0
17.818.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 4.0
22.72.5
13.616.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
Second
1255
#10
16.61.0
9.710.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End6.0
blue by 3.2
19.82.5
11.814.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Third
7440
#25
9.51.0
3.34.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End3.8
red by 0.4
7510
#17
9.22.5
7.710.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned