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Red43
541421.6
65477.8
582911.8
Blue51
258218.3
46398.1
432816.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36411020305060704351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.0
18.019.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 3.3
18.30.7
18.018.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End8.3
Second
5829
#26
11.81.0
10.411.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 4.3
4328
#12
16.10.4
12.112.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
Third
6547
#33
7.81.0
5.46.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.1
blue by 0.2
4639
#19
8.10.7
8.59.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned