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Red58
741811.7
582911.8
23124.5
Blue58
749214.7
258718.7
71157.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44371020304050605858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#8
24.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End4.8
red by 5.8
2587
#11
18.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Second
5829
#26
11.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 2.9
14.7
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End6.3
Third
7418
#29
11.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End2.0
red by 4.1
7115
#28
7.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsEarned