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Red44
458721.4
432816.1
542717.0
Blue46
749214.7
582911.8
611114.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5038203060704446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
16.716.4
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
red by 6.6
6111
#23
14.81.0
13.714.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
5427
#22
17.00.3
17.016.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 2.3
14.71.1
11.012.1
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End6.3
Third
4328
#12
16.10.2
13.413.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
red by 4.3
5829
#26
11.81.1
11.412.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed