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Red53
46398.1
75186.8
62425.2
Blue43
589222.7
749415.1
333513.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425020306070805343

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
25.20.3
24.524.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.5
End7.5
red by 2.5
22.70.4
21.220.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End7.4
Second
4639
#19
8.10.4
8.68.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End3.6
blue by 7.0
7494
#18
15.10.4
12.612.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Third
7518
#31
6.80.4
6.86.4
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End2.9
blue by 7.1
3335
#24
13.90.4
13.212.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed