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Red43
383411.6
611114.8
542717.0
Blue21
46398.1
310310.8
50705.5
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452701020405060704321

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#22
17.00.0
17.117.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.7
red by 6.1
3103
#30
10.80.4
11.310.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Second
6111
#23
14.80.0
14.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 6.7
4639
#19
8.10.4
8.78.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.3
End3.6
Third
3834
#16
11.60.0
10.710.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End4.5
red by 6.1
5070
#35
5.50.4
5.95.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed