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Red55
541421.6
258514.6
432816.1
Blue39
741013.9
749415.1
75186.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533702060805539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.4
19.820.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.9
red by 6.5
7494
#18
15.10.4
14.514.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.5
Second
4328
#12
16.10.3
16.016.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
red by 2.2
7410
#27
13.90.4
13.613.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Third
14.60.4
14.014.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End3.9
red by 7.7
7518
#31
6.80.3
6.56.8
Auto3.1
Teleop0.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed