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Red74
680020.4
181721.0
631517.6
Blue62
752125.4
637725.3
708813.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59672040801007462

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.4
20.120.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End5.4
blue by 4.5
25.40.1
25.225.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
6800
#26
20.40.4
19.519.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
blue by 4.9
25.30.1
25.024.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End8.8
Third
6315
#33
17.60.4
16.717.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End4.2
red by 3.8
7088
#34
13.80.1
13.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3