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Red67
303520.1
406326.6
469411.8
Blue40
668217.5
437815.2
473413.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584430405070806740

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.3
25.225.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.1
End11.2
red by 9.1
6682
#13
17.50.0
16.016.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End4.2
Second
3035
#17
20.10.3
20.120.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.7
red by 4.9
15.20.0
13.613.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
4694
#21
11.80.3
9.39.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 2.1
4734
#20
13.90.0
12.312.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End3.7