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Red89
589225.2
324017.6
542716.7
Blue75
44124.2
557220.8
693514.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583720305070808975

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.8
23.624.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End6.9
red by 4.4
5572
#10
20.80.7
21.322.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End3.4
Second
3240
#11
17.60.8
14.415.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.3
red by 2.9
6935
#18
14.60.7
12.413.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Third
5427
#30
16.70.8
16.917.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End2.3
red by 12.5
4412
#38
4.20.7
1.01.7
Auto0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed