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Red50
693514.6
334512.9
433211.2
Blue58
752125.4
72648.0
589415.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37482060805058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6935
#18
14.60.2
13.313.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 10.8
25.40.8
21.922.7
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
3345
#16
12.90.2
10.811.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 2.3
5894
#23
15.20.8
15.216.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Third
4332
#36
11.20.2
11.011.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 3.1
7264
#29
8.00.8
8.79.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed