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Red56
45716.2
406326.6
72648.0
Blue43
324017.6
421913.9
348119.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49483540455560655643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.7
24.124.8
Auto3.4
Teleop12.1
End11.2
red by 7.2
3481
#37
19.40.2
19.819.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Second
457
#9
16.20.7
11.812.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End3.2
blue by 1.4
3240
#11
17.60.2
15.215.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.3
Third
7264
#29
8.00.7
9.610.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End2.7
blue by 5.9
4219
#32
13.90.2
11.611.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed