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Red44
775011.6
749217.0
463910.8
Blue43
589415.2
433211.2
399712.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838303540454443

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.5
15.816.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End5.6
red by 1.9
5894
#23
15.20.5
15.015.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Second
7750
#27
11.60.5
10.611.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 1.0
3997
#12
12.60.5
9.39.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
4639
#22
10.80.5
9.510.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.9
blue by 0.4
4332
#36
11.20.5
11.311.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed