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Red46
469411.8
354512.4
596019.6
Blue49
433211.2
572610.2
631517.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383601020305060704649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5960
#14
19.60.7
19.219.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 2.1
6315
#33
17.60.8
13.914.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Second
3545
#25
12.40.7
9.39.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End2.6
red by 1.2
4332
#36
11.20.8
11.812.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Third
4694
#21
11.80.7
7.27.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.6
red by 1.7
5726
#31
10.20.8
8.29.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed