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Red55
713811.2
334512.9
557220.8
Blue19
618010.9
463910.8
303520.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424320304050605519

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#10
20.81.0
20.321.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End3.4
red by 0.7
3035
#17
20.11.5
20.919.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
3345
#16
12.91.0
8.79.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 2.0
6180
#15
10.91.5
12.210.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Third
7138
#39
11.21.0
11.112.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
red by 0.4
4639
#22
10.81.5
8.16.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed