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Red33
618010.9
473413.9
421913.9
Blue65
637725.3
752125.4
572610.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3758102030507080903365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#32
13.90.2
11.911.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 11.5
25.40.7
22.623.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
4734
#20
13.90.2
12.512.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End3.7
blue by 11.4
25.30.7
23.223.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End8.8
Third
6180
#15
10.90.2
11.010.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 0.8
5726
#31
10.20.7
9.09.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned