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Red33
598614.1
706311.4
334512.9
Blue49
469411.8
693514.6
324017.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039203050603349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#19
14.10.3
15.214.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 3.5
3240
#11
17.60.8
15.316.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End3.3
Second
3345
#16
12.90.3
12.211.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 1.8
6935
#18
14.60.8
13.314.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Third
7063
#35
11.40.3
10.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End2.7
blue by 0.4
4694
#21
11.80.8
8.59.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed