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Red49
775011.6
354512.4
147720.1
Blue45
116414.0
708813.8
303520.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4752204060804945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.1
22.222.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End8.2
Level
3035
#17
20.10.3
21.321.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
3545
#25
12.40.1
11.611.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 1.6
1164
#24
14.00.3
15.114.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
7750
#27
11.60.1
10.910.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.7
blue by 2.2
7088
#34
13.80.3
12.512.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned7%HAB Docking oddsMissed