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Red56
129621.1
504715.0
436412.8
Blue30
770812.9
753511.9
70417.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504520304060705630

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.1
20.520.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
red by 3.6
704
#14
17.60.3
17.617.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Second
15.00.1
14.414.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End3.4
red by 2.1
7708
#17
12.90.3
13.012.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End3.3
Third
4364
#29
12.80.1
12.112.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
red by 0.9
11.90.3
12.011.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End3.4