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Red44
753511.9
750610.4
129621.1
Blue17
67518.4
70916.2
730311.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823010203050604417

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
17.217.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
red by 10.0
7303
#15
11.10.4
8.07.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Second
11.90.5
7.68.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End3.4
red by 3.5
6751
#30
8.40.3
9.99.6
Auto5.0
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Third
7506
#32
10.40.5
11.612.1
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.7
red by 4.2
7091
#36
6.20.3
4.13.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed