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Red63
70916.2
711912.0
690119.0
Blue27
505213.9
296910.2
52126.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31200104050606327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.01.6
16.317.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End4.2
red by 5.0
5052
#11
13.90.5
7.37.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Second
7119
#28
12.01.6
9.611.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.5
red by 1.9
2969
#24
10.20.5
6.67.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Third
7091
#36
6.21.6
3.24.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 0.4
5212
#25
6.70.5
5.05.5
Auto1.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed