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Red41
77048.7
67518.4
667227.4
Blue27
753410.7
73217.5
541123.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414130354550554127

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.1
22.322.2
Auto6.1
Teleop14.7
End6.6
red by 3.8
23.60.8
19.819.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End5.9
Second
7704
#19
8.70.1
9.89.6
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 2.1
7534
#37
10.70.8
10.39.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Third
6751
#30
8.40.1
7.27.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.5
End1.9
red by 0.9
7321
#33
7.51.3
8.47.1
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed