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Red47
568212.8
420614.3
770812.9
Blue33
750610.4
505710.8
690119.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44443438404246484733

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#13
14.30.3
13.814.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 4.7
19.00.6
17.917.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Second
7708
#17
12.90.3
13.613.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End3.3
red by 2.2
5057
#22
10.80.6
12.311.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Third
5682
#18
12.80.3
14.414.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 2.4
7506
#32
10.40.6
11.510.9
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed