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Red33
77497.0
296910.2
280513.0
Blue49
753410.7
77048.7
712119.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263801020305060703349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#16
13.00.5
9.610.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 6.1
7121
#10
19.10.4
17.618.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Second
2969
#24
10.20.5
7.17.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 0.6
7534
#37
10.70.4
9.810.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Third
7749
#39
7.00.9
8.29.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.2
End2.1
blue by 1.7
7704
#19
8.70.7
9.09.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed