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Red33
750610.4
77497.0
70417.6
Blue34
296910.2
524220.0
73217.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393825303545503334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
#14
17.60.3
16.716.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 2.4
20.00.3
22.121.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End3.2
Second
7506
#32
10.40.3
10.910.7
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.7
red by 0.2
2969
#24
10.20.3
7.67.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Third
7749
#39
7.00.4
9.18.7
Auto3.7
Teleop1.2
End2.1
blue by 0.5
7321
#33
7.50.6
6.35.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed