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Red24
420614.3
505710.8
753410.7
Blue49
504715.0
750610.4
541123.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39460102030506070802449

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#13
14.30.8
15.014.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 9.3
23.60.3
21.722.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End5.9
Second
5057
#22
10.80.8
11.510.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 4.2
15.00.3
11.411.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End3.4
Third
7534
#37
10.70.8
10.39.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
red by 0.3
7506
#32
10.40.3
10.711.0
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed