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Red52
73217.5
712510.0
712119.1
Blue32
420614.3
77048.7
753511.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383730354045505232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#10
19.10.2
18.718.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.7
red by 4.8
4206
#13
14.30.2
14.314.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Second
7125
#35
10.00.2
9.810.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 1.9
11.90.2
12.212.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End3.4
Third
7321
#33
7.50.2
7.37.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.0
blue by 1.2
7704
#19
8.70.3
8.98.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed