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Red35
711912.0
280513.0
750610.4
Blue51
505213.9
335510.9
419219.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374102060803551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#16
13.00.0
12.812.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.3
blue by 6.8
4192
#12
19.70.6
17.418.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End6.8
Second
7119
#28
12.00.0
12.112.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End2.5
blue by 1.9
5052
#11
13.90.6
11.612.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End2.8
Third
7506
#32
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto5.6
Teleop2.1
End2.7
blue by 0.5
3355
#20
10.90.6
10.110.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed