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Red36
67337.2
420614.3
712119.1
Blue23
419219.7
52126.7
436412.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383720253035404550553623

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#10
19.10.0
17.517.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 0.6
4192
#12
19.70.8
15.514.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End6.8
Second
4206
#13
14.30.0
13.513.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.6
red by 1.5
4364
#29
12.80.8
13.512.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
Third
6733
#27
7.20.0
4.64.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.4
End1.6
red by 0.5
5212
#25
6.70.8
6.05.2
Auto1.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed